American Physicians Capital, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2007 Results

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EAST LANSING, Mich., April 25 /-/ -- American Physicians Capital, Inc. (APCapital) (Nasdaq: ACAP) today announced net income of $10.5 million or $.90 per diluted common share for the first quarter of 2007. This compares to net income of $8.9 million, or $.70 per diluted common share for the first quarter of 2006. Book value per common share was $23.74 at March 31, 2007, based on 11,196,024 common shares outstanding, an increase of 2.1% from $23.26 at December 31, 2006.

    "Our business strategy continued to generate solid results," said President and Chief Executive Officer R. Kevin Clinton. "Our focused operations and strict underwriting produced a solid and profitable book-of- business, which is generating consistent earnings representing a 15.6% return on beginning shareholders' equity."

    "APCapital has evolved into a stable and profitable Company, anchored by its strong book-of-business and disciplined management," added Clinton. "While we've lost business in Illinois to unreasonable price competition, we have been able to grow in our other key markets. Our reserves continue to develop favorably, yet we remain cautious, adding $7.5 million to IBNR reserves this quarter."

    Consolidated Income Statement

    (Dollars in thousands)

     Three Months Ended

     March 31,

     2007 2006

    Direct Premiums Written $36,302 $41,521

    Net Premiums Written $34,894 $38,965

    Net Premiums Earned $35,032 $37,443

    Incurred Loss and Loss Adjustment

     Expenses:

     Current Accident Year Losses 26,627 28,985

     Prior Year Losses (4,265) (2,108)

     Total 22,362 26,877

    Underwriting Expenses 7,361 7,677

     Underwriting Income 5,309 2,889

    Investment Income 11,177 11,103

    Other Income (1) 211 489

    Other Expenses (1,295) (1,309)

     Pre-tax Income 15,402 13,172

    Federal Income Taxes 4,897 4,309

     Net Income $10,505 $8,863

    Loss Ratio:

     Current Accident Year 76.0% 77.4%

     Prior Year Development -12.2% -5.6%

     Calendar Year 63.8% 71.8%

    Underwriting Expense Ratio 21.0% 20.5%

    Combined Ratio 84.8% 92.3%

    (1) Includes realized gains and losses

    Direct premiums written were $36.3 million in the first quarter of 2007, down $5.2 million or 12.6% from the same period a year ago. The decline in direct premiums written for the quarter was the result of price competition in our Illinois market, which was down $5.2 million or 34.7%. Premiums were up in our Michigan and New Mexico markets. We insured 9,387 physicians at March 31, 2007, down 0.7% from year end 2006.

    Net premiums earned in the first quarter of 2007 were down $2.4 million or 6.4% from the first quarter of 2006. The decline in net premiums earned was not as great as the decline in direct premiums written due to the reinsurance terms in place for 2007 whereby the Company retained a greater portion of loss exposure and ceded less premium.

    The 2007 first quarter loss ratio was 63.8% with $4.3 million of positive development from prior accident years. For the three months ended March 31, 2006, the loss ratio was 71.8% with $2.1 million of positive prior year development. On an accident year basis, the loss ratio in the first quarter of 2007 was 76.0%, down slightly from the 77.4% reported in the first quarter of 2006. This accident year loss ratio reflects the strong book-of-business we have developed and our adherence to an adequate pricing philosophy. In addition, we continue to experience favorable development in our reserves. The number of reported claims in the first quarter of 2007 was 247, down 19.8% from the 308 reported in the first quarter of 2006.

    The underwriting expense ratio increased slightly in the first quarter of 2007 to 21.0% from 20.5% in the first quarter of 2006. The increases in underwriting ratio were principally the result of our lower premium volume. Other expenses in 2007 were approximately the same as a year ago.

    Investment income

    Investment income was $11.2 million in the first quarter of 2007, substantially unchanged from the $11.1 million for the same period in 2006. The overall investment yields decreased from 5.28% in the first quarter 2006 to 5.12% in the first quarter of 2007.

    Balance Sheet and Equity Information

    APCapital's total assets were $1.089 billion at March 31, 2007, down $6.6 million from December 31, 2006. At March 31, 2007, the Company's total shareholders' equity was $265.8 million, down from $268.8 million at December 31, 2006. The decrease in shareholders' equity is a result of net income of $10.5 million for the first quarter of 2007 being offset by the Company utilizing $13.9 million of equity to repurchase shares.

    Stock Repurchase Program

    The Company repurchased 372,400 shares of its common stock during the first quarter of 2007 at an average cost of $37.32 per share.

    On October 27, 2006, the Company's Board of Directors adopted a new stock repurchase plan for 2007 under Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and authorized the repurchase of $32 million of its common shares pursuant to the 2007 10b5-1 plan. In addition, the board authorized the rollover of any unused dollars allocated to the 2006 10b5-1 plan adopted by the Board in April 2006. At March 31, 2007, the Company had approximately $584,000 unused dollars from the 2006 authorization. On April 12, 2007, the Company announced that it used the remaining amount carried over from the 2006 10b5-1 plan and commenced its 2007 authorization.

    Outlook

    "We remained disciplined in our management philosophy," said Clinton. "We have grown when profitable opportunities arise and remain watchful for M&A investments. We continue to effectively manage our capital through our share repurchase program."

    Conference Call

    APCapital's website, http://www.apcapital.com, will host a live Webcast of its conference call in a listen-only format to discuss 2007 first quarter results on April 26, 2007 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. An archived edition of the Webcast can be accessed by going to the Company's website and selecting "For Investors," then "Webcasts." For individuals unable to access the Webcast, a telephone replay will be available by dialing 1-888-286-8010 or (617) 801-6888 and entering the conference ID code: 29859490. The replay will be available through 11:59 p.m. Eastern time on May 1, 2007.

    Corporate Description

    American Physicians Capital, Inc. is a regional provider of medical professional liability insurance focused primarily in the Midwest markets through American Physicians Assurance Corporation and its other subsidiaries. Further information about the companies is available on the Internet at http://www.apcapital.com.

    Forward-Looking Statements

    Certain statements made by American Physicians Capital, Inc. in this release may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. When we use words such as "will," "should," "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "estimates" or similar expressions, or make statements in the section titled "Outlook," we are making forward-looking statements. While we believe any forward-looking statements we have made are reasonable, they are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results could differ materially. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following:

    -- increased competition could adversely affect our ability to sell our

     products at premium rates we deem adequate, which may result in a

     decrease in premium volume, a decrease in our profitability, or both;

    -- our reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are based

     on estimates that may prove to be inadequate to cover our losses;

    -- our exit from various markets and lines of business may prove more

     costly than originally anticipated;

    -- tort reform legislation may have adverse or unintended consequences

     that could materially and adversely affect our results of operations

     and financial condition;

    -- if we are unable to obtain or collect on ceded reinsurance, our results

     of operations and financial condition may be adversely affected;

    -- the insurance industry is subject to regulatory oversight that may

     impact the manner in which we operate our business;

    -- our geographic concentration in certain Midwestern states and New

     Mexico ties our performance to the business, economic, regulatory and

     legislative conditions in those states;

    -- an interruption or change in current marketing and agency relationships

     could reduce the amount of premium we are able to write;

    -- a downgrade in the financial strength rating of our insurance

     subsidiaries could reduce the amount of business we are able to write;

    -- changes in interest rates could adversely impact our results of

     operation, cash flows and financial condition;

    -- our status as an insurance holding company with no direct operations

     could adversely affect our ability to meet our debt obligations and

     fund future share repurchases;

    -- the loss of one or more of our key employees could adversely affect our

     business;

    -- unpredictable court decisions could have a material adverse financial

     impact on our business operations if the amount of the award is

     expanded beyond the intended insurance coverage;

    -- applicable law and certain provisions in our articles and bylaws may

     prevent and discourage unsolicited attempts to acquire our Company that

     may be in the best interest of our shareholders;

    -- any other factors listed or discussed in the reports filed by APCapital

     with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Securities

     Exchange Act of 1934.

    APCapital does not undertake, and expressly disclaims any obligation, to update or alter its statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

    Definition of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    The Company uses operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, to evaluate APCapital's underwriting performance. Operating income differs from net income by excluding the after-tax effect of realized capital gains and (losses).

    Although the investment of premiums to generate investment income and capital gains or (losses) is an integral part of an insurance company's operations, the Company's decisions to realize capital gains or (losses) are independent of the insurance underwriting process. In addition, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, losses may be recognized for accounting purposes as the result of other than temporary declines in the value of investment securities, without actual realization. APCapital believes that the level of realized gains and (losses) for any particular period is not indicative of the performance of our ongoing underlying insurance operations in a particular period. As a result, the Company believes that providing operating income (loss) information makes it easier for users of APCapital's financial information to evaluate the success of the Company's underlying insurance operations.

    In addition to the Company's reported loss ratios, management also uses accident year loss ratios, a non-GAAP financial measure, to evaluate the Company's current underwriting performance. The accident year loss ratio excludes the effect of prior years' loss reserve development. APCapital believes that this ratio is useful to investors as it focuses on the relationships between current premiums earned and losses incurred related to the current year. Although considerable variability is inherent in the estimates of losses incurred related to the current year, the Company believes that the current estimates are reasonable.

    Summary Financial Information

    American Physicians Capital, Inc.

    Balance Sheet Data March 31, December 31,

     2007 2006

     (In thousands, except per share data)

    Assets:

     Available-for-sale - bonds $247,097 $255,001

     Held-to-maturity - bonds 501,668 505,572

     Other invested assets 6,351 6,476

     Cash and cash equivalents 118,969 108,227

     Cash and investments 874,085 875,276

     Premiums receivable 38,707 43,068

     Reinsurance recoverable 110,809 109,013

     Deferred federal income taxes 30,709 32,795

     Other assets 34,885 35,663

     Total assets $1,089,195 $1,095,815

    Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity:

     Unpaid losses and loss adjustment

     expenses $688,015 $688,031

     Unearned premiums 69,738 70,744

     Long-term debt 30,928 30,928

     Federal income taxes payable 2,631 189

     Other liabilities 32,036 37,113

     Total liabilities 823,348 827,005

     Common stock - -

     Additional paid-in-capital 27,600 41,106

     Retained earnings 233,440 222,935

     Accumulated other comprehensive income:

     Net unrealized gains on investments,

     net of deferred federal income taxes 4,807 4,769

     Shareholders' equity 265,847 268,810

     Total liabilities and shareholders'

     equity $1,089,195 $1,095,815

    Shares outstanding 11,196 11,557

    Book value per share $23.74 $23.26

    Summary Financial Information

    American Physicians Capital, Inc.

    Income Statement

     Three Months Ended

     March 31,

     2007 2006

     (In thousands, except per share data)

    Direct premiums written $36,302 $41,521

    Net premiums written $34,894 $38,965

    Net premiums earned $35,032 $37,443

    Investment income 11,177 11,103

    Net realized (losses) gains (2) 12

    Other income 213 477

     Total revenues 46,420 49,035

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses 22,362 26,877

    Underwriting expenses 7,361 7,677

    Other expenses 1,295 1,309

     Total expenses 31,018 35,863

     Income before income taxes 15,402 13,172

    Federal income tax expense 4,897 4,309

     Net income $10,505 $8,863

    Adjustments to reconcile net income

     to operating income:

     Net income $10,505 $8,863

     Add back:

     Realized losses (gains), net of tax 1 (8)

    Net operating income $10,506 $8,855

    Ratios:

    Loss ratio (1) 63.8% 71.8%

    Underwriting ratio (2) 21.0% 20.5%

    Combined ratio (3) 84.8% 92.3%

    Earnings per share data:

    Net income

     Basic $0.92 $0.71

     Diluted $0.90 $0.70

    Net operating income

     Basic $0.92 $0.71

     Diluted $0.90 $0.70

    Basic weighted average shares outstanding 11,435 12,398

    Diluted weighted average shares

     outstanding 11,648 12,682

    (1) The loss ratio is calculated by dividing incurred loss and loss

     adjustment expenses by net premiums earned.

    (2) The underwriting ratio is calculated by dividing underwriting expenses

     by net premiums earned.

    (3) The combined ratio is the sum of the loss and underwriting ratios.

    Summary Financial Information

    American Physicians Capital, Inc.

    Selected Cash Flow Information

     For the Three Months Ended

     March 31,

     2007 2006

     (In thousands)

    Net cash from operating activities $13,292 $8,757

    Net cash from (for) investing activities $11,340 $(181,904)

    Net cash for financing activities $(13,890) $(5,354)

    Net increase (decrease) in cash and

     cash equivalents $10,742 $(178,501)

    American Physicians Capital, Inc.

    Supplemental Statistics

    Medical Professional Liability

     Reported

    Three Months Ended Claim Count

    March 31, 2007 247

    December 31, 2006 267

    September 30, 2006 297

    June 30, 2006 296

    March 31, 2006 308

    December 31, 2005 347

    September 30, 2005 361

    June 30, 2005 401

    March 31, 2005 404

     Net Premium Earned (in thousands)

     APCapital

    Three Months Ended Excluding PIC

     Florida PIC Florida Total

    March 31, 2007 $35,034 $- $35,034

    December 31, 2006 37,051 - 37,051

    September 30, 2006 37,774 - 37,774

    June 30, 2006 37,517 - 37,517

    March 31, 2006 37,448 - 37,448

    December 31, 2005 39,918 671 40,589

    September 30, 2005 39,305 975 40,280

    June 30, 2005 39,677 869 40,546

    March 31, 2005 41,356 799 42,155

     Average Net

     Average Net Paid Claim

     Open Case Reserve (Trailing Four

    Three Months Ended Claim Count Per Open Claim Quarter Average)

    March 31, 2007 2,200 $138,800 $56,600

    December 31, 2006 2,256 137,900 59,100

    September 30, 2006 2,347 138,800 57,600

    June 30, 2006 2,558 136,300 63,000

    March 31, 2006 2,976 120,400 78,800

    December 31, 2005 2,991 122,400 75,900

    September 30, 2005 3,109 119,100 67,900

    June 30, 2005 3,211 116,300 68,200

    March 31, 2005 3,344 114,900 65,200

     Retention Ratio

     Three Months

     Ended Year Ended Three Months Ended

     March 31, 2006 2006 March 31, 2007

    Illinois 79% 81% 78%

    Kentucky 80% 70% 86%

    Michigan 85% 85% 88%

    New Mexico 82% 82% 91%

    Ohio 85% 83% 87%

     Total (all states) 82% 82% 87%

    Notes:

    All values, except net premiums earned, exclude experience from

    investment in Physicians Insurance Company (Florida).

    
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